The repeated outbreaks of dengue and chikungunya reveal our limited ability to prevent vector-borne diseases. At this juncture, it would be expedient to look at yet another threat that looms large on the horizon.
The Zika virus could be India’s next big public health crisis. It is
spread by the Aedes mosquito — the same one that is responsible for the
spread of diseases like dengue and chikungunya. However, not a single
case of Zika has been reported in the past several months. The absence
of the disease could actually signal “under-reporting, misdiagnosis or
high level of immunity in people”, as has been conjectured in a recent
paper published by researchers from the University of Oxford. Further,
other studies have shown that India has the perfect climate for the
virus to spread exponentially. A recent study published in The Lancet
says that India is at high risk for the spread of Zika, as it hosts over
67,000 travellers from areas where there is an active circulation of
the virus.
Said to spread through sexual contact, the virus becomes dangerous
for young women of child-bearing age. However, the fact that except for
pregnant women, Zika causes a mild illness, often indistinguishable from
other causes of viral illnesses, could be crucial to understanding one
possible reason behind the non-detection of the virus in India. Until
and unless more penetrating surveillance systems are put into place, it
would be difficult to state with confidence that the virus was actually
absent from India.
Globally, there has been a move to pre-empt and contain the spread of
the virus and not repeat the mistakes made during the Ebola outbreak,
which raged on unchecked for far too long. The creation of data and
knowledge sharing platforms, like the WHO’s Zika Open, where research
studies on the virus are fast-tracked and published online, has helped
the global community deal with the uncertainty that surrounded the
pathogen in the early days of its emergence. The increased focus on and
funding for the disease has sparked a research race where investigations
into diagnostic medical devices and vaccines have been initiated
remarkably early — another notable deviation from the Ebola experience.
However, the truth remains that medical devices and vaccines,
although they sound like attractive options to counter an emergent
disease, are often not the best use of limited resources, especially in
the setting of an infection spreading on a global scale. These
interventions are resource-intense endeavours that need to go through
several levels of animal and human testing before they can be deployed
on a mass scale. Not only does this take a long time, but there is also
the attendant risk that the intervention will fail at one of the many
levels that it needs to navigate. There has to be a larger corpus of
funding in basic preventive mechanisms, which have been shown to be the
best weapon against vector-borne diseases.
If the crisis that had struck Brazil last year has to be kept at bay
in India, the entire public health machinery has to gear up to provide
diagnostic aids to vulnerable groups, and supportive therapy to
potentially affected mothers. It is an urgent wake-up call for health
planners and policy-makers, one that nudges them yet again, to invest in
primary and preventive healthcare ahead of tertiary healthcare, well
before an epidemic breaks out.
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